Language:English
Pogoń Szczecin v Legia Warszawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 37.94%2.64fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%37.90%37.94%39.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.442.5244.44%41.32%40.98%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visit)
Prediction 35.16%2.84fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.26%35.20%35.13%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.622.7641.67%38.36%38.17%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.90%3.72fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%26.90%26.93%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.57%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 37.94%; Legia Warszawa (Visit): 35.16%; Draw: 26.90%. For Legia Warszawa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -2.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.18%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.86%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -3.98%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.18%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.20%EV -5.52%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -4.01%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.90%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -7.80%E -3.21%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -7.53%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.22%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -9.70%E -4.07%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.59%E -4.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.61%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.54%E -7.83%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 34.85%EV -13.15%E -5.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 34.87% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |