Szkoła Kursów

Pogoń Szczecin v Legia Warszawa

Początek: 2026-04-06 15:34 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.94%2.64kurs godziwy
EV -4.38%
Przewaga -1.74%
Kelly -2.88%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.27%37.90%37.94%39.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.422.442.5244.44%41.32%40.98%39.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Legia Warszawa (Goście)

Prognoza 35.16%2.84kurs godziwy
EV -2.96%
Przewaga -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.76

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.26%35.20%35.13%36.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.612.622.7641.67%38.36%38.17%36.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.90%3.72kurs godziwy
EV -3.18%
Przewaga -0.882%
Kelly -1.22%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.05%26.90%26.93%28.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.57%29.41%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.18%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.86%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -3.98%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 15:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.18%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:28
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:30
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:30
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:30
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.20%EV -5.52%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -4.01%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:29
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.90%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:29
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:29
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -7.80%E -3.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -7.53%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:30
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:29
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.22%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 15:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -9.70%E -4.07%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 15:30
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.59%E -4.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 15:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.61%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.54%E -7.83%K -11.99%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 15:29
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.85%EV -13.15%E -5.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-06 15:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50%2.56I 39.06%NM 34.87%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%12.0%2026-04-06 15:30