La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Pogoń Szczecin v Legia Warszawa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Predicción 37.94%2.64momio equitativo
EV -4.38%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.27%37.90%37.94%39.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.442.5244.44%41.32%40.98%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Legia Warszawa (Visitante)
Predicción 35.16%2.84momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.26%35.20%35.13%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.622.7641.67%38.36%38.17%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -0.882%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%26.90%26.93%28.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.57%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.18%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.86%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -3.98%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.18%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:28 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.20%EV -5.52%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -4.01%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.90%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -7.80%E -3.21%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -7.53%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.22%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -9.70%E -4.07%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.59%E -4.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.61%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.54%E -7.83%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 34.85%EV -13.15%E -5.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 34.87% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |