StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pogoń Szczecin v Legia Warszawa

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 15:34 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pogoń Szczecin (Heim)

Prognose 37.94%2.64faire Quote
EV -4.38%
Vorteil -1.74%
Kelly -2.88%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.27%37.90%37.94%39.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.422.442.5244.44%41.32%40.98%39.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Auswärts)

Prognose 35.16%2.84faire Quote
EV -2.96%
Vorteil -1.07%
Kelly -1.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.26%35.20%35.13%36.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.612.622.7641.67%38.36%38.17%36.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.90%3.72faire Quote
EV -3.18%
Vorteil -0.882%
Kelly -1.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.05%26.90%26.93%28.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.883.383.403.6034.72%29.57%29.41%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Pogoń Szczecin (Heim): 37.94%; Legia Warszawa (Auswärts): 35.16%; Unentschieden: 26.90%. Für Legia Warszawa (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.84. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.76, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.96%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.18%EV -4.38%E -1.74%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.86%EV -2.96%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%EV -3.98%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 15:29
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.18%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.31%E -1.20%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:30
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.86%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -5.14%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:30
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.20%EV -5.52%E -2.22%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -4.01%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -5.90%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.77%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.90%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:30
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:29
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -7.80%E -3.21%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -7.53%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 15:30
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.82%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:29
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.18%E -3.38%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.22%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.06%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 15:29
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.94%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -9.70%E -4.07%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.83%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.59%E -4.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -12.59%E -3.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.55%E -2.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -12.73%E -5.54%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -15.61%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.54%E -7.83%K -11.99%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -10.34%E -4.05%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.63%E -6.50%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.85%EV -13.15%E -5.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-06 15:30
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%1.5%2026-04-06 15:30
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-06 15:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50%2.56I 39.06%NM 34.87%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%12.0%2026-04-06 15:30