The School of Odds
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Piast Gliwice v Wisła Kraków

2026-08-01 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%40.66%40.56%41.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.262.262.3547.17%44.15%44.25%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.032%
Kelly +0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.80%31.39%31.68%32.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.883.1837.04%34.39%34.72%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV +0.532%
Edge +0.148%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.95%27.76%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.6032.79%30.34%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.532%E +0.148%K +0.204%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-28 18:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 18:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.26%E -0.646%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.05%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 17:53
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 41.74%EV -7.85%E -3.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV +0.103%E +0.032%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 19:00
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.85%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:49
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.42%E -0.779%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 17:49
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 17:19
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.69%E -4.86%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.24%E -2.84%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-28 17:49
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.64%E -3.32%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-28 17:49
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.44%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -1.79%E -0.572%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -11.20%E -3.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -8.25%E -3.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -2.42%E -0.779%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -11.20%E -3.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:50
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -8.25%E -3.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -2.42%E -0.779%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -12.03%E -3.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -8.25%E -3.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -2.42%E -0.779%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -12.03%E -3.82%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 19:14
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -12.72%E -5.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -15.01%E -5.56%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.43%E -4.33%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-28 15:00
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -13.94%E -6.57%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -14.83%E -4.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-28 18:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 39.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%13.7%2026-07-28 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 26.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 37.05%1.28I 78.13%NM 36.18%115.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 26.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 37.05%1.28I 78.13%NM 36.18%115.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 26.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 37.05%1.28I 78.13%NM 36.18%115.9%2026-07-28 18:55