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Piast Gliwice v Wisła Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 39.25%2.55fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.38%39.29%39.16%40.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.382.4645.45%42.50%42.02%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 32.16%3.11fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.66%32.10%32.22%33.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.883.1537.04%34.85%34.72%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.799%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.61%28.62%29.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.203.203.4333.67%31.30%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 39.25%; Wisła Kraków (Visit): 32.16%; Draw: 28.59%. For Wisła Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -1.94%E -0.566%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.03%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 12:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.40%EV -10.50%E -4.61%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -15.09%E -5.08%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
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