Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice v Wisła Kraków

Início: 2026-08-01 12:45 UTC

Final: Piast Gliwice 4–3 Wisła Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Previsão 39.25%2.55odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.38%39.29%39.16%40.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.382.4645.45%42.50%42.02%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wisła Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 32.16%3.11odd justa
EV +1.30%
Vantagem +0.412%
Kelly +0.604%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.66%32.10%32.22%33.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.872.883.1537.04%34.85%34.72%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.59%3.50odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.566%
Kelly -0.799%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.68%28.61%28.62%29.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.973.203.203.4333.67%31.30%31.25%29.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Piast Gliwice (Local): 39.25%; Wisła Kraków (Visitante): 32.16%; Empate: 28.59%. Para Wisła Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.11. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.15, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 12:35
BetUS🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 12:34
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:29
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -1.94%E -0.566%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 12:35
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 12:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 12:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 12:20
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:35
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.03%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 12:30
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 12:38
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:30
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:24
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 07:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 09:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 12:29
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-01 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.40%EV -10.50%E -4.61%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-01 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -15.09%E -5.08%K -7.66%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-01 12:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-08-01 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-08-01 12:35
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-08-01 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89%1.8%2026-08-01 12:40
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-01 12:35
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10%2.6%2026-08-01 12:30