Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice v Wisła Kraków

2026-08-01 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Predicción 40.68%2.46momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -3.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.66%40.71%40.63%41.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.252.252.3547.17%44.35%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wisła Kraków (Visitante)

Predicción 31.30%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.478%
Ventaja -0.150%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.55%31.26%31.37%32.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.982.983.1837.04%33.53%33.56%31.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV +0.903%
Ventaja +0.251%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%28.03%27.99%29.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.203.6033.33%30.85%31.25%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.903%E +0.251%K +0.347%G +0.003%4.8%2026-07-28 18:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -1.90%E -0.543%K -0.760%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 17:54
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -1.90%E -0.543%K -0.760%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 18:09
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-28 17:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-28 17:53
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 41.74%EV -7.67%E -3.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -0.478%E -0.150%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.46%EV -6.67%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 19:00
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.51%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.87%E -3.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.51%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.51%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.51%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.51%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 17:49
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 17:49
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -6.74%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 17:19
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -6.74%E -2.26%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.45%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 17:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 19:15
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -7.26%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 20:14
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -7.26%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 20:14
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -7.26%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 20:14
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -7.26%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 20:15
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:14
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:14
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:14
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:14
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -1.42%E -0.450%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-28 17:49
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.48%E -3.77%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.94%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-28 17:49
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.26%E -3.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.85%EV -2.36%E -0.755%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -10.87%E -3.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:54
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -8.07%E -3.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -10.87%E -3.42%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:50
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -8.07%E -3.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -8.07%E -3.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 19:14
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 40.87%EV -8.07%E -3.57%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 20:34
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -9.29%E -4.17%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.98%E -0.962%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 20:15
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 20:15
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.51%E -4.78%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -4.55%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-28 20:14
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -12.55%E -5.84%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -15.50%E -5.74%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-28 15:00
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -13.77%E -6.49%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -10.81%E -3.79%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -14.51%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-28 18:33
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.00%EV -12.96%E -6.05%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -7.68%E -2.60%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -15.91%E -5.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-28 20:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 39.98%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%13.7%2026-07-28 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 26.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 37.05%1.28I 78.13%NM 36.18%115.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 26.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 37.05%1.28I 78.13%NM 36.18%115.9%2026-07-28 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 26.77%1.25I 80.00%NM 37.05%1.28I 78.13%NM 36.18%115.9%2026-07-28 18:55