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Piast Gliwice v Wisła Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Predicción 39.25%2.55momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.38%39.29%39.16%40.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.382.4645.45%42.50%42.02%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wisła Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 32.16%3.11momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.604%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.66%32.10%32.22%33.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.872.883.1537.04%34.85%34.72%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.566%
Kelly -0.799%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%28.61%28.62%29.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.973.203.203.4333.67%31.30%31.25%29.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Piast Gliwice (Local): 39.25%; Wisła Kraków (Visitante): 32.16%; Empate: 28.59%. Para Wisła Kraków (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.11. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -1.94%E -0.566%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.03%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 12:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.40%EV -10.50%E -4.61%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -15.09%E -5.08%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |