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Piast Gliwice v Wisła Kraków
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Piast Gliwice (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.25%2.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.44%
Преимущество -1.40%
Kelly -2.35%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.38%39.29%39.16%40.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.352.382.4645.45%42.50%42.02%40.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Wisła Kraków (Гости)
Прогноз 32.16%3.11справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.30%
Преимущество +0.412%
Kelly +0.604%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.66%32.10%32.22%33.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.872.883.1537.04%34.85%34.72%31.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.59%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.94%
Преимущество -0.566%
Kelly -0.799%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.68%28.61%28.62%29.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.973.203.203.4333.67%31.30%31.25%29.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Piast Gliwice (Хозяева): 39.25%; Wisła Kraków (Гости): 32.16%; Ничья: 28.59%. Для исхода «Wisła Kraków (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.11. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.15, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.30%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.07%EV -5.40%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%EV +1.30%E +0.412%K +0.604%G +0.008% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.80%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16%EV -3.44%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -1.94%E -0.566%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.74%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.90%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.09%E -2.18%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.03%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.37%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.23%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-30 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.35%E -2.93%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.09%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 12:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.58%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -9.95%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.72%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.52%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.38%E -3.67%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.40%EV -10.50%E -4.61%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -14.24%E -4.75%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -13.17%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -15.09%E -5.08%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.89% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.95% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.10% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 12:30 |