Language:English
Nieciecza v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nieciecza (Local)
Prediction 36.21%2.76fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.96%36.29%36.27%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.492.502.7043.86%40.16%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 36.70%2.72fair odd
EV +0.929%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.01%36.58%36.65%38.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.562.502.7542.02%39.11%39.92%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.13%27.08%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.68%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nieciecza (Local): 36.21%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 36.70%; Draw: 27.09%. For Wisła Płock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.929%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -15.63%E -6.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.49%E -0.690%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -16.71%E -7.27%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -17.44%E -7.65%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -2.59%E -0.963%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.90%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.44%EV -5.68%E -2.21%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -2.21%E -0.613%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.88%E -3.14%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.36%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -14.18%E -5.98%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 10:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 09:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -18.74%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-19 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |