مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nieciecza v Wisła Płock

البداية: 2026-04-19 10:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Nieciecza 1–3 Wisła Płock

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nieciecza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.21%2.76السعر العادل
EV -2.23%
الأفضلية -0.826%
Kelly -1.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.96%36.29%36.27%38.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.282.492.502.7043.86%40.16%40.00%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wisła Płock (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.70%2.72السعر العادل
EV +0.929%
الأفضلية +0.338%
Kelly +0.531%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.01%36.58%36.65%38.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.562.502.7542.02%39.11%39.92%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.09%3.69السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -0.613%
Kelly -0.848%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.40%27.13%27.08%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.68%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:01
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:01
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 10:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 09:54
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:01
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -15.63%E -6.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 09:59
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.49%E -0.690%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 10:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -16.71%E -7.27%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 10:00
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -17.44%E -7.65%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 10:01
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -2.59%E -0.963%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 10:05
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:00
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:00
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.90%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.44%EV -5.68%E -2.21%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -2.21%E -0.613%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 10:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 10:00
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 10:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 09:55
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.88%E -3.14%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.36%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:05
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:05
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 10:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 10:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 09:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 09:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 09:55
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -14.18%E -5.98%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 10:03
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:01
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:01
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 09:58
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 10:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:00
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 10:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -18.74%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 09:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 09:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%1.0%2026-04-19 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-04-19 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-04-19 10:05