La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nieciecza v Wisła Płock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nieciecza (Local)
Predicción 36.21%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.96%36.29%36.27%38.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.492.502.7043.86%40.16%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wisła Płock (Visitante)
Predicción 36.70%2.72momio equitativo
EV +0.929%
Ventaja +0.338%
Kelly +0.531%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.01%36.58%36.65%38.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.562.502.7542.02%39.11%39.92%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.09%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.613%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.13%27.08%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.68%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -15.63%E -6.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 09:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.49%E -0.690%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -16.71%E -7.27%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -17.44%E -7.65%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -2.59%E -0.963%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.90%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.44%EV -5.68%E -2.21%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -2.21%E -0.613%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.88%E -3.14%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.36%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 09:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -14.18%E -5.98%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 10:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 10:01 |
| Bovada | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 09:58 |
| BetUS | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -18.74%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-19 09:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 10:05 |