Szkoła Kursów

Nieciecza v Wisła Płock

Początek: 2026-04-19 10:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Nieciecza 1–3 Wisła Płock

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nieciecza (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.21%2.76kurs godziwy
EV -2.23%
Przewaga -0.826%
Kelly -1.31%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.96%36.29%36.27%38.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.282.492.502.7043.86%40.16%40.00%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Wisła Płock (Goście)

Prognoza 36.70%2.72kurs godziwy
EV +0.929%
Przewaga +0.338%
Kelly +0.531%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.01%36.58%36.65%38.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.562.502.7542.02%39.11%39.92%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.09%3.69kurs godziwy
EV -2.21%
Przewaga -0.613%
Kelly -0.848%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.40%27.13%27.08%28.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.373.403.6133.33%29.68%29.41%27.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -12.01%E -4.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV +0.929%E +0.338%K +0.531%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 10:01
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 10:01
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.01%EV -0.906%E -0.336%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 10:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 09:54
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 10:01
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -15.63%E -6.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -3.48%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 09:59
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.49%E -0.690%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 10:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -16.71%E -7.27%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 10:00
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.78%EV -17.44%E -7.65%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -4.58%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 10:01
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -2.59%E -0.963%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 10:05
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:00
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.75%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.79%EV -5.31%E -2.06%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:00
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.90%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.44%EV -5.68%E -2.21%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -2.21%E -0.613%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 10:01
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 10:00
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 10:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 09:55
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.94%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.94%EV -7.88%E -3.14%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -7.36%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:05
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:05
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 10:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 10:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 09:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 09:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.28%E -4.61%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 09:55
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -14.18%E -5.98%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -8.25%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 10:03
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:01
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -2.23%E -0.826%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -8.98%E -3.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:01
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 09:58
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -9.35%E -3.78%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 10:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.66%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:00
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.85%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 10:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -9.47%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 10:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.90%E -6.34%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -13.82%E -5.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.61%EV -11.92%E -4.97%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -18.74%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 09:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.09%E -5.46%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -12.65%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 09:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%1.0%2026-04-19 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.59%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-04-19 10:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-04-19 10:05
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-19 10:00
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-04-19 10:05