Language:English
Nieciecza v Motor Lublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nieciecza (Local)
Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.20%37.87%37.87%40.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.83%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.90%36.24%36.23%37.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.522.7043.48%39.61%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -0.038%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%25.89%25.90%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.51%28.57%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nieciecza (Local): 37.83%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 36.28%; Draw: 25.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.861. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.860, with an expected value of -0.038%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.94%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.89%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -7.86%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.15%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -13.25%E -3.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.65%EV -11.85%E -4.88%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.01%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.37%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.44%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.79%EV -10.40%E -4.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.17%E -3.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.31%E -7.44%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.78%E -7.63%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -17.13%E -5.35%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |