La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Nieciecza v Motor Lublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nieciecza (Local)
Predicción 37.83%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.20%37.87%37.87%40.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.83%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motor Lublin (Visitante)
Predicción 36.28%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.761%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.90%36.24%36.23%37.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.522.7043.48%39.61%39.68%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.038%
Ventaja -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.73%25.89%25.90%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.51%28.57%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.94%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.89%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -7.86%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.15%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -13.25%E -3.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:43 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.65%EV -11.85%E -4.88%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Bovada | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.01%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.37%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.44%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.79%EV -10.40%E -4.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.17%E -3.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.31%E -7.44%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.78%E -7.63%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -17.13%E -5.35%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |