L’École des cotesNieciecza v Motor Lublin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nieciecza (Local)
Prévision 37.83%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.634%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.20%37.87%37.87%40.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.83%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Motor Lublin (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.28%2.76cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.90%36.24%36.23%37.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.522.7043.48%39.61%39.68%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.038%
Avantage -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.89%25.90%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.51%28.57%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.94%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.89%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -7.86%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.15%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -13.25%E -3.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:43 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.65%EV -11.85%E -4.88%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Bovada | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.01%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.37%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.44%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.79%EV -10.40%E -4.21%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.17%E -3.26%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.31%E -7.44%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-13 16:35 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 08:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.78%E -7.63%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -17.13%E -5.35%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |