مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nieciecza v Motor Lublin

البداية: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nieciecza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.83%2.64السعر العادل
EV -1.65%
الأفضلية -0.634%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.20%37.87%37.87%40.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.83%40.82%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Motor Lublin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.28%2.76السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.761%
Kelly -1.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.90%36.24%36.23%37.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.522.522.7043.48%39.61%39.68%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.90%3.86السعر العادل
EV -0.038%
الأفضلية -0.010%
Kelly -0.013%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.73%25.89%25.90%28.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.513.503.8633.33%28.51%28.57%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:44
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:45
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.65%E -0.634%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.31%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.94%EV -0.038%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 16:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.89%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 16:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:55
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:44
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:45
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:45
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -3.54%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 16:45
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -7.86%E -3.09%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.15%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:55
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -4.67%E -1.86%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:40
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:43
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:50
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 16:44
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.45%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.75%EV -10.04%E -4.05%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 16:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -13.25%E -3.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 16:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 16:54
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:43
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 16:55
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.65%EV -11.85%E -4.88%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 16:45
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 16:54
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 37.81%EV -7.70%E -3.16%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 16:54
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:44
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:44
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.01%EV -8.46%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.50%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 16:50
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:35
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 16:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:45
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -14.54%E -4.41%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 16:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.35%E -4.37%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-13 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.11%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-13 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.44%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.79%EV -10.40%E -4.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.17%E -3.26%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-13 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 16:45
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.36%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -12.94%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.31%E -7.44%K -11.15%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-13 16:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 08:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 08:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -14.89%E -6.62%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -2.06%E -0.761%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.77%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 08:34
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -16.78%E -7.63%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.57%E -7.20%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -17.13%E -5.35%K -7.79%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-13 16:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-03-13 16:55