Language:English
Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.78%40.72%40.65%42.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.3846.51%44.13%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.70%33.05%33.28%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9038.46%36.22%36.30%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.23%26.07%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 40.65%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 33.15%; Draw: 26.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.92%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.34%EV -8.52%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -8.13%E -3.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -5.15%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 12:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 03:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 12:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 12:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.23%EV -11.79%E -5.43%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.32%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -13.01%E -3.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |