The School of Odds
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Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice

2026-08-29 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Motor Lublin (Local)

Prediction 39.76%2.51fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.17%39.75%39.71%40.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4146.51%43.76%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Piast Gliwice (Visit)

Prediction 33.66%2.97fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%33.81%33.65%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.722.8340.00%37.01%36.76%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -0.349%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.127%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.43%26.65%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.403.7531.25%28.98%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Motor Lublin (Local): 39.76%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 33.66%; Draw: 26.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.349%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.17%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.47%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.22%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -0.349%E -0.093%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -10.80%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.68%E -0.453%K -0.621%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:03
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.17%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -7.09%E -2.57%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 18:58
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.95%E -2.97%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.32%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.19%EV -7.35%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.92%EV -8.10%E -2.97%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -8.44%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 19:00
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.75%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -8.44%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 18:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.81%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 12:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -11.32%E -5.08%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -9.11%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -10.80%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -10.80%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -10.80%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -10.80%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -11.47%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -14.16%E -5.55%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.85%E -6.34%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-22 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.51%E -6.75%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.48%E -4.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -14.96%E -4.68%K -6.80%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.82%EV -14.51%E -6.75%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.85%E -6.34%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%7.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 39.31%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%16.7%2026-08-22 19:00

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