Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 12:45 UTC

Score final : Motor Lublin 0–2 Piast Gliwice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motor Lublin (Local)

Prévision 40.65%2.46cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.78%40.72%40.65%42.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.252.3846.51%44.13%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Piast Gliwice (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.70%33.05%33.28%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.752.9038.46%36.22%36.30%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.634%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%26.23%26.07%27.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Motor Lublin (Local) : 40.65% ; Piast Gliwice (Visiteur) : 33.15% ; Match nul : 26.20%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.82. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -1.74% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.92%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 12:40
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 03:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 12:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 10:55
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.34%EV -8.52%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -8.13%E -3.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -5.15%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:10
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:29
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 03:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 03:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 03:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 12:38
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 10:50
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 10:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 03:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 12:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.23%EV -11.79%E -5.43%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.32%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 03:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -13.01%E -3.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-08-29 12:40
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:26
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.2%2026-08-29 12:35