语言:简体中文
Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Motor Lublin (主队)
预测 40.65%2.46公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.38
博彩公司预测分布
39.78%40.72%40.65%42.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.272.252.3846.51%44.13%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Piast Gliwice (客队)
预测 33.15%3.02公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -2.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
31.70%33.05%33.28%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.762.752.9038.46%36.22%36.30%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.20%3.82公平赔率
EV -1.74%
优势 -0.465%
Kelly -0.634%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.34%26.23%26.07%27.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Motor Lublin (主队)：40.65%；Piast Gliwice (客队)：33.15%；平局：26.20%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.82。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-1.74%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.92%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.34%EV -8.52%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -8.13%E -3.60%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -5.15%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 12:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 03:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 12:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 12:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.23%EV -11.79%E -5.43%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.32%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 03:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -13.01%E -3.92%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 12:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 12:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 12:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 12:35 |