StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice

Matchstart: 2026-08-29 12:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Motor Lublin 0–2 Piast Gliwice

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Motor Lublin (Hemma)

Prognos 40.65%2.46rättvist odds
EV -3.25%
Fördel -1.37%
Kelly -2.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.78%40.72%40.65%42.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.272.252.3846.51%44.13%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Piast Gliwice (Borta)

Prognos 33.15%3.02rättvist odds
EV -3.88%
Fördel -1.34%
Kelly -2.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.70%33.05%33.28%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.762.752.9038.46%36.22%36.30%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.20%3.82rättvist odds
EV -1.74%
Fördel -0.465%
Kelly -0.634%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.34%26.23%26.07%27.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.70%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Motor Lublin (Hemma): 40.65%; Piast Gliwice (Borta): 33.15%; Oavgjort: 26.20%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.82. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.75, med väntevärdet -1.74%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.92%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -8.03%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.59%EV -3.66%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.06%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.53%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 12:40
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 03:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 12:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 12:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.50%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 10:55
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.34%EV -8.52%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -8.13%E -3.60%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.44%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -5.15%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:10
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:29
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 03:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 03:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 03:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 12:38
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 10:50
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 10:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -9.35%E -4.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -12.22%E -3.65%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 03:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 12:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.23%EV -11.79%E -5.43%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.32%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 03:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -13.01%E -3.92%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 12:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-08-29 12:40
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-29 12:26
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.2%2026-08-29 12:35