Школа коэффициентов

Motor Lublin v Lech Poznań

Начало: 2026-05-02 18:15 UTC

Итог: Motor Lublin 0–1 Lech Poznań

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Motor Lublin (Хозяева)

Прогноз 22.69%4.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.09%
Преимущество +0.465%
Kelly +0.598%
Рост +0.013%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.21%22.58%22.91%24.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.014.004.5027.78%24.92%25.00%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Lech Poznań (Гости)

Прогноз 54.87%1.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.42%
Преимущество -1.94%
Kelly -4.50%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.76

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.48%54.93%54.77%56.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.671.681.7663.69%59.77%59.52%56.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.44%4.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.27%
Преимущество -0.289%
Kelly -0.374%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.53%22.49%22.31%24.07%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.094.104.4028.57%24.45%24.39%22.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +2.09%E +0.465%K +0.598%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.39%EV -7.78%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:55
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -0.177%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:09
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.27%E -0.289%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 18:00
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:02
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:55
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.76%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:00
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 18:05
1xBet4.03I 24.81%NM 23.58%EV -8.57%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -4.86%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:05
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:31
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:31
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:31
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:34
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:29
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:40
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:49
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:31
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:30
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:31
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 18:00
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.55%E -6.47%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 18:01
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:35
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 17:45
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 17:31
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.90%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 17:49
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.54%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.20%EV -10.70%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 17:49
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.21%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 17:35
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 53.56%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -21.47%E -6.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -17.19%E -4.71%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -18.33%E -5.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.61%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-02 17:46
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.8%2026-05-02 18:10