StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Motor Lublin v Lech Poznań

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 18:15 UTC

Endstand: Motor Lublin 0–1 Lech Poznań

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Motor Lublin (Heim)

Prognose 22.69%4.41faire Quote
EV +2.09%
Vorteil +0.465%
Kelly +0.598%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.21%22.58%22.91%24.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.014.004.5027.78%24.92%25.00%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Auswärts)

Prognose 54.87%1.82faire Quote
EV -3.42%
Vorteil -1.94%
Kelly -4.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.48%54.93%54.77%56.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.671.681.7663.69%59.77%59.52%56.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.44%4.46faire Quote
EV -1.27%
Vorteil -0.289%
Kelly -0.374%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.53%22.49%22.31%24.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.504.094.104.4028.57%24.45%24.39%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Motor Lublin (Heim): 22.69%; Lech Poznań (Auswärts): 54.87%; Unentschieden: 22.44%. Für Motor Lublin (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.41. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.09%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +2.09%E +0.465%K +0.598%G +0.013%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.39%EV -7.78%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -0.177%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:09
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.27%E -0.289%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 18:00
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:02
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:55
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.76%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:00
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:45
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 18:05
1xBet🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.58%EV -8.57%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -4.86%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 18:05
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:31
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:31
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:31
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:34
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:29
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:40
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:49
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:05
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:31
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:30
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:31
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 18:00
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.55%E -6.47%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 18:01
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:35
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 17:31
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.90%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.54%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.20%EV -10.70%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.21%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 53.56%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -21.47%E -6.13%K -8.59%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -17.19%E -4.71%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -18.33%E -5.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.61%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-02 17:46
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-05-02 18:10
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.8%2026-05-02 18:10