L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Motor Lublin v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prévision 22.69%4.41cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.465%
Kelly +0.598%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.21%22.58%22.91%24.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.004.5027.78%24.92%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.87%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.48%54.93%54.77%56.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.681.7663.69%59.77%59.52%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.44%4.46cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.289%
Kelly -0.374%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%22.49%22.31%24.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.094.104.4028.57%24.45%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +2.09%E +0.465%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.39%EV -7.78%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -0.177%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.27%E -0.289%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 18:02 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.76%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.58%EV -8.57%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -4.86%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:34 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 17:29 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.55%E -6.47%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.90%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.54%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.20%EV -10.70%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.21%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.56%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -21.47%E -6.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -17.19%E -4.71%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -18.33%E -5.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.61%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 17:46 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |