La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Motor Lublin v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motor Lublin (Local)
Predicción 22.69%4.41momio equitativo
EV +2.09%
Ventaja +0.465%
Kelly +0.598%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.21%22.58%22.91%24.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.014.004.5027.78%24.92%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 54.87%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.48%54.93%54.77%56.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.681.7663.69%59.77%59.52%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.289%
Kelly -0.374%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%22.49%22.31%24.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.094.104.4028.57%24.45%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +2.09%E +0.465%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.25%EV -4.52%E -2.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.39%EV -7.78%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -0.177%E -0.040%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.27%E -0.289%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 18:02 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.58%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.76%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.58%EV -8.57%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -3.42%E -1.94%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.42%EV -4.86%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.93%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -2.39%E -0.550%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| BetRivers | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 17:34 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -2.84%E -0.657%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -7.26%E -4.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 17:29 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.71%E -3.95%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -6.88%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -10.39%E -2.63%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.81%E -4.65%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.46%E -5.73%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.52%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.55%E -6.47%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -5.62%E -3.26%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -12.65%E -3.29%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.77%EV -10.01%E -6.10%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 17:31 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.90%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.54%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.20%EV -10.70%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 17:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.21%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -13.79%E -3.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.86%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.36%E -5.01%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -14.92%E -3.98%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.56%EV -13.85%E -8.82%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -21.47%E -6.13%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -17.19%E -4.71%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.10%E -6.85%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -18.33%E -5.09%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.61%EV -12.20%E -7.63%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-02 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 17:46 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |