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Motor Lublin v GKS Katowice

2026-08-16 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Motor Lublin (Local)

Prediction 35.79%2.79fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%35.94%35.78%38.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.7244.44%39.92%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visit)

Prediction 38.06%2.63fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.79%37.89%38.16%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5244.44%41.66%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -0.645%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.01%26.16%26.06%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.8031.25%28.50%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Motor Lublin (Local): 35.79%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 38.06%; Draw: 26.15%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -0.645%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.88%EV -2.64%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.25%EV -5.61%E -2.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.87%EV -7.70%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.78%EV -4.79%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.61%EV -6.37%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -12.41%E -3.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.78%EV -4.79%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.61%EV -6.37%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -12.41%E -3.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -6.75%E -2.76%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.95%E -0.521%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 14:25
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:38
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.86%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.29%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -5.86%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.29%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -9.42%E -3.96%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.65%E -3.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.645%E -0.170%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:24
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.56%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -3.26%E -0.881%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.56%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.46%E -5.42%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.59%EV -11.32%E -4.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -16.33%E -5.10%K -7.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 14:18
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -4.09%E -1.62%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -4.85%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:30
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -14.10%E -5.87%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-09 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -17.68%E -7.69%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -8.65%E -3.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 13:29
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -17.68%E -7.69%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%EV -14.36%E -6.38%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-09 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -19.47%E -8.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.55%EV -10.56%E -4.49%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.10%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-09 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -19.47%E -8.65%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -8.65%E -3.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-09 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 34.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.50%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%12.0%2026-08-09 16:15