Language:English
Motor Lublin v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 41.67%2.40fair odd
EV -0.821%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%41.61%41.64%42.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.202.3848.78%44.72%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.815%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.53%32.56%32.46%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.753.0339.22%36.09%36.36%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.87%3.87fair odd
EV -0.399%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.140%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.67%25.83%25.90%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.523.553.8529.85%28.37%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 41.67%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 32.46%; Draw: 25.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.399%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.399%E -0.104%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.47%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.99%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.546%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 12:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 12:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -13.34%E -5.00%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -14.57%E -7.11%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |