默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Motor Lublin v GKS Katowice

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 12:45 UTC

最终结果: Motor Lublin 1–0 GKS Katowice

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Motor Lublin (主队)

预测 41.67%2.40公平赔率
EV -0.821%
优势 -0.345%
Kelly -0.595%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.15%41.61%41.64%42.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.242.202.3848.78%44.72%45.45%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

GKS Katowice (客队)

预测 32.46%3.08公平赔率
EV -1.65%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -0.815%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.03

博彩公司预测分布
31.53%32.56%32.46%34.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.772.753.0339.22%36.09%36.36%33.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.87%3.87公平赔率
EV -0.399%
优势 -0.104%
Kelly -0.140%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.67%25.83%25.90%26.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.523.553.8529.85%28.37%28.17%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Motor Lublin (主队):41.67%;GKS Katowice (客队):32.46%;平局:25.87%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.87。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.85,期望值为-0.399%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:18
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.399%E -0.104%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 12:14
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.47%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.99%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:38
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.546%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:33
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 12:14
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:19
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:14
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 12:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 12:34
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 12:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:09
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 12:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 12:34
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:14
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 12:14
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 12:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -13.34%E -5.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 12:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -14.57%E -7.11%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-16 12:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-16 12:39
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-16 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-16 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-08-16 12:40
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-08-16 12:40