Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Motor Lublin (Local): 41.67%; GKS Katowice (Visitante): 32.46%; Empate: 25.87%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.87. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.85, con un valor esperado de -0.399%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.399%E -0.104%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.47%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.99%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.546%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 12:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 12:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -13.34%E -5.00%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -14.57%E -7.11%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |