Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motor Lublin v GKS Katowice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 12:45 UTC

Score final : Motor Lublin 1–0 GKS Katowice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motor Lublin (Local)

Prévision 41.67%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.821%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.595%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.15%41.61%41.64%42.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.242.202.3848.78%44.72%45.45%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

GKS Katowice (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.46%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -0.815%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.53%32.56%32.46%34.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.753.0339.22%36.09%36.36%33.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.87%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.399%
Avantage -0.104%
Kelly -0.140%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.67%25.83%25.90%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.523.553.8529.85%28.37%28.17%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Motor Lublin (Local) : 41.67% ; GKS Katowice (Visiteur) : 32.46% ; Match nul : 25.87%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -0.399% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:19
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -0.821%E -0.345%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:18
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -0.399%E -0.104%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 12:14
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.47%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.99%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:38
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -1.65%E -0.546%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -4.25%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:33
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 12:14
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -17.23%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -13.33%E -3.98%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:19
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.65%E -2.97%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%EV -3.28%E -1.10%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.07%E -3.17%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.08%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.94%E -2.54%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:14
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 12:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 12:34
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 12:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:09
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 12:34
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 12:34
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:14
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 12:14
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.32%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -5.57%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 12:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.49%E -5.95%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.71%EV -13.34%E -5.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.04%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 12:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -14.57%E -7.11%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -15.61%E -6.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-16 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-16 12:39
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-16 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-08-16 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-08-16 12:40
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-08-16 12:40