Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.13%62.34%62.29%64.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.42%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 15.54%6.44fair odd
EV +5.82%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 6.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.98%15.48%15.58%16.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.855.756.8118.87%17.11%17.39%14.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.14%4.52fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.04%22.17%22.14%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.104.4026.32%24.52%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 62.32%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 15.54%; Draw: 22.14%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.44. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 13.98%EV +5.82%E +0.855%K +1.00%G +0.058% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV -12.99%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +4.89%E +0.725%K +0.851%G +0.042% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -2.58%E -0.587%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 18:18 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.71%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.87%EV +0.230%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.42%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.66%E -0.590%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 18:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 18:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -9.09%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.87%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.29%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 14.01% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02% | -0.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |