Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Legia Warszawa v Radomiak Radom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Score final : Legia Warszawa 5–0 Radomiak Radom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prévision 62.32%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -7.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.13%62.34%62.29%64.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.42%67.57%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.54%6.44cote équitable
EV +5.82%
Avantage +0.855%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 6.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.98%15.48%15.58%16.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.305.855.756.8118.87%17.11%17.39%14.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.587%
Kelly -0.759%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.04%22.17%22.14%24.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.084.104.4026.32%24.52%24.39%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Legia Warszawa (Local) : 62.32% ; Radomiak Radom (Visiteur) : 15.54% ; Match nul : 22.14%. Pour Radomiak Radom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.44. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.81, soit une espérance positive de +5.82%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.98%EV +5.82%E +0.855%K +1.00%G +0.058%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV -12.99%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +4.89%E +0.725%K +0.851%G +0.042%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -2.58%E -0.587%K -0.759%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:18
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.71%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.87%EV +0.230%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.42%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.66%E -0.590%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:18
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -9.09%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.87%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:24
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:24
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.29%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-14 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97%7.14I 14.01%NM 14.01%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02%-0.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-08-14 18:25