StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Legia Warszawa v Radomiak Radom

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Endstand: Legia Warszawa 5–0 Radomiak Radom

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Legia Warszawa (Heim)

Prognose 62.32%1.60faire Quote
EV -4.03%
Vorteil -2.62%
Kelly -7.46%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.54

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.13%62.34%62.29%64.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.42%67.57%64.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.54%6.44faire Quote
EV +5.82%
Vorteil +0.855%
Kelly +1.00%
Wachstum +0.058%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.98%15.48%15.58%16.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.305.855.756.8118.87%17.11%17.39%14.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.14%4.52faire Quote
EV -2.58%
Vorteil -0.587%
Kelly -0.759%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.04%22.17%22.14%24.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.084.104.4026.32%24.52%24.39%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Legia Warszawa (Heim): 62.32%; Radomiak Radom (Auswärts): 15.54%; Unentschieden: 22.14%. Für Radomiak Radom (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.44. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.81 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.82%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.98%EV +5.82%E +0.855%K +1.00%G +0.058%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV -12.99%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +4.89%E +0.725%K +0.851%G +0.042%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -2.58%E -0.587%K -0.759%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:18
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.71%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.87%EV +0.230%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.42%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.66%E -0.590%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:18
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -9.09%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.87%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:24
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:24
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.29%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-14 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97%7.14I 14.01%NM 14.01%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02%-0.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-08-14 18:25