Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Legia Warszawa v Radomiak Radom

Início: 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC

Final: Legia Warszawa 5–0 Radomiak Radom

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Previsão 62.32%1.60odd justa
EV -4.03%
Vantagem -2.62%
Kelly -7.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.13%62.34%62.29%64.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.42%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Radomiak Radom (Visitante)

Previsão 15.54%6.44odd justa
EV +5.82%
Vantagem +0.855%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescimento +0.058%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.98%15.48%15.58%16.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.305.855.756.8118.87%17.11%17.39%14.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.14%4.52odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -0.587%
Kelly -0.759%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.04%22.17%22.14%24.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.084.104.4026.32%24.52%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Legia Warszawa (Local): 62.32%; Radomiak Radom (Visitante): 15.54%; Empate: 22.14%. Para Radomiak Radom (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.44. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.81, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.80%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.98%EV +5.82%E +0.855%K +1.00%G +0.058%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV -12.99%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +4.89%E +0.725%K +0.851%G +0.042%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -2.58%E -0.587%K -0.759%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:18
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +1.01%E +0.155%K +0.183%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.71%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.87%EV +0.230%E +0.036%K +0.042%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.42%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.99%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.547%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -3.66%E -0.590%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:15
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:18
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.76%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:24
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.54%EV -8.32%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.85%EV -9.09%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.34%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.87%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.03%E -2.62%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.22%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:24
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.30%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -10.33%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:24
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.91%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -10.65%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.29%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -12.98%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-14 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -9.01%E -6.17%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.53%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-14 18:19
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -9.64%E -6.65%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -16.09%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.13%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -13.65%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -17.64%E -3.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -14.76%E -3.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97%7.14I 14.01%NM 14.01%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02%-0.1%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.61%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:25
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-08-14 18:25