Школа коэффициентов

Lech Poznań v Wisła Płock

Начало: 2026-05-23 15:30 UTC

Итог: Lech Poznań 2–2 Wisła Płock

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lech Poznań (Хозяева)

Прогноз 69.33%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.71%
Преимущество -4.20%
Kelly -15.87%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.68%69.43%69.24%73.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.311.301.3682.64%76.54%76.92%73.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Wisła Płock (Гости)

Прогноз 13.20%7.58справедливый коэффициент
EV +18.77%
Преимущество +2.09%
Kelly +2.35%
Рост +0.441%

при максимальном коэффициенте 9.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.38%13.10%13.29%14.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.907.467.009.0016.95%13.41%14.29%11.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 17.47%5.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.471%
Преимущество +0.082%
Kelly +0.099%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.38%17.48%17.46%19.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.255.255.7522.22%19.03%19.05%17.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 14:59
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:00
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:00
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -12.64%E -10.04%K -48.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 15:00
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -14.03%E -11.32%K -58.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 14:59
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -15.42%E -12.64%K -70.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:00
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:19
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -9.18%E -7.01%K -29.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 15:19
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.49%EV -16.11%E -13.31%K -76.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 14:59
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:18
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:19
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 14:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:19
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:19
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.61%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.99%EV -3.79%E -0.520%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -4.95%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 15:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -4.32%E -0.596%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -19.62%E -4.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.98%E -0.692%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 14:59
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:09
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:09
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:09
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:09
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:09
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:09
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 15:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -21.37%E -4.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-23 15:20
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:09
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:19
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 13.92%EV -12.37%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.09%EV -10.71%E -2.10%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 15:20
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:09
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.90%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:09
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.22%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.86%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.92%EV -13.51%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-23 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.46%EV -11.95%E -9.41%K -44.26%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.80%EV -16.86%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -17.52%E -2.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:08
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -20.82%E -3.47%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.79%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.14%E -3.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -10.89%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 15:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 72.71%8.33I 12.00%NM 12.13%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.15%-1.1%2026-05-23 15:09
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.3%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.3%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.3%2026-05-23 15:20
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13%2.4%2026-05-23 15:20