L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Lech Poznań v Wisła Płock
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prévision 69.33%1.44cote équitable
EV -5.71%
Avantage -4.20%
Kelly -15.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.68%69.43%69.24%73.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.311.301.3682.64%76.54%76.92%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Wisła Płock (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.20%7.58cote équitable
EV +18.77%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +2.35%
Croissance +0.441%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.38%13.10%13.29%14.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.907.467.009.0016.95%13.41%14.29%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.47%5.72cote équitable
EV +0.471%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.099%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.38%17.48%17.46%19.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.255.255.7522.22%19.03%19.05%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -12.64%E -10.04%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -14.03%E -11.32%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -15.42%E -12.64%K -70.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -9.18%E -7.01%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.49%EV -16.11%E -13.31%K -76.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:18 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.61%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 12.99%EV -3.79%E -0.520%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -4.95%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -4.32%E -0.596%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -19.62%E -4.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.98%E -0.692%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -21.37%E -4.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 13.92%EV -12.37%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.09%EV -10.71%E -2.10%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.90%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.22%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.86%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.92%EV -13.51%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-23 15:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.46%EV -11.95%E -9.41%K -44.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.80%EV -16.86%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -17.52%E -2.80%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 15:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -20.82%E -3.47%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.79%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.14%E -3.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -10.89%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.71% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 12.13% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 15.15% | -1.1% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.25% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |