La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Lech Poznań v Wisła Płock
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lech Poznań (Casa)
Previsione 69.33%1.44quota equa
EV -5.71%
Vantaggio -4.20%
Kelly -15.87%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.68%69.43%69.24%73.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.311.301.3682.64%76.54%76.92%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Wisła Płock (Trasferta)
Previsione 13.20%7.58quota equa
EV +18.77%
Vantaggio +2.09%
Kelly +2.35%
Crescita +0.441%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.38%13.10%13.29%14.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.907.467.009.0016.95%13.41%14.29%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.47%5.72quota equa
EV +0.471%
Vantaggio +0.082%
Kelly +0.099%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.38%17.48%17.46%19.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.255.255.7522.22%19.03%19.05%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -12.64%E -10.04%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -14.03%E -11.32%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -15.42%E -12.64%K -70.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -9.18%E -7.01%K -29.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.49%EV -16.11%E -13.31%K -76.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:18 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.61%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 12.99%EV -3.79%E -0.520%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -4.95%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -4.32%E -0.596%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -19.62%E -4.27%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.98%E -0.692%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -21.37%E -4.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 13.92%EV -12.37%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.09%EV -10.71%E -2.10%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.90%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-23 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.22%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.86%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.92%EV -13.51%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-23 15:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.46%EV -11.95%E -9.41%K -44.26%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.80%EV -16.86%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -17.52%E -2.80%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 15:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -20.82%E -3.47%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.79%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.14%E -3.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -10.89%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.71% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 12.13% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 15.15% | -1.1% | 2026-05-23 15:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.25% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 15:20 |