Die Schule der Quoten

Lech Poznań v Wisła Płock

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-23 15:30 UTC

Endstand: Lech Poznań 2–2 Wisła Płock

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lech Poznań (Heim)

Prognose 69.33%1.44faire Quote
EV -5.71%
Vorteil -4.20%
Kelly -15.87%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.68%69.43%69.24%73.12%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.211.311.301.3682.64%76.54%76.92%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wisła Płock (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.20%7.58faire Quote
EV +18.77%
Vorteil +2.09%
Kelly +2.35%
Wachstum +0.441%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.38%13.10%13.29%14.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.907.467.009.0016.95%13.41%14.29%11.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 17.47%5.72faire Quote
EV +0.471%
Vorteil +0.082%
Kelly +0.099%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.38%17.48%17.46%19.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.255.255.7522.22%19.03%19.05%17.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 14:59
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +0.471%E +0.082%K +0.099%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:00
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:00
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +18.77%E +2.09%K +2.35%G +0.441%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -12.64%E -10.04%K -48.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -2.15%E -0.384%K -0.467%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 15:00
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -14.03%E -11.32%K -58.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 14:59
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -15.42%E -12.64%K -70.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +12.17%E +1.43%K +1.62%G +0.198%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:00
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 15:19
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -9.18%E -7.01%K -29.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 15:19
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.49%EV -16.11%E -13.31%K -76.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV +5.58%E +0.697%K +0.797%G +0.044%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 14:59
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:18
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:19
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 14:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:19
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -11.26%E -8.80%K -40.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.02%E -0.136%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 15:19
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.61%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.99%EV -3.79%E -0.520%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -4.95%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 15:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -4.32%E -0.596%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -19.62%E -4.27%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -4.98%E -0.692%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 14:59
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 15:09
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.90%E -0.709%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:09
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 15:09
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.27%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 15:09
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:09
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:09
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.48%E -6.43%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 15:19
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -10.56%E -8.19%K -36.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -7.62%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -21.37%E -4.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-23 15:20
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:09
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.11%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -8.94%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.39%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:19
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.98%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 13.92%EV -12.37%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.09%EV -10.71%E -2.10%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 15:20
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:09
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -5.71%E -4.20%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.82%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:09
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.10%E -5.30%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.90%EV -12.90%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.14%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:09
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 15:19
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.84%EV -13.34%E -10.67%K -53.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.24%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.93%EV -16.13%E -3.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.22%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.86%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.92%EV -13.51%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-23 15:08
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.46%EV -11.95%E -9.41%K -44.26%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.80%EV -16.86%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -14.38%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.54%EV -7.79%E -5.86%K -23.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -17.52%E -2.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -5.64%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:08
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -20.82%E -3.47%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -12.63%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.79%EV -9.87%E -7.59%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.14%E -3.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -10.89%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 15:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 72.71%8.33I 12.00%NM 12.13%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.15%-1.1%2026-05-23 15:09
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.3%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.3%2026-05-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.51%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.01%1.3%2026-05-23 15:20
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13%2.4%2026-05-23 15:20