Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Lech Poznań v Nieciecza
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Lech Poznań (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 71.24%1.40kurs godziwy
EV -0.258%
Przewaga -0.184%
Kelly -0.646%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.24%71.07%71.03%73.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.171.311.301.4085.47%76.23%76.92%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Nieciecza (Goście)
Prognoza 12.10%8.26kurs godziwy
EV +8.91%
Przewaga +0.990%
Kelly +1.11%
Wzrost +0.099%
przy maksymalnym kursie 9.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
10.54%12.11%12.31%14.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.007.267.259.0016.67%13.78%13.79%11.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 16.65%6.00kurs godziwy
EV -0.073%
Przewaga -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.45%16.83%16.66%20.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.335.275.256.0023.09%18.98%19.05%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.91%E +0.990%K +1.11%G +0.099% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.95%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV +5.28%E +0.607%K +0.686%G +0.036% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.40%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.75%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.77%EV +4.68%E +0.541%K +0.611%G +0.029% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.48%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.86%E +0.337%K +0.382%G +0.011% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.51%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.23%EV +2.38%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.26%EV -2.74%E -0.469%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.073%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 13:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.40%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.60%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.40%EV -10.45%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -10.07%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.25%E -3.94%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.43%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 13:16 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 71.83%EV -16.64%E -14.23%K -97.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.01%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.16%EV -13.40%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -3.11%E -2.29%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.85%EV -10.23%E -8.12%K -39.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -11.73%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.18%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -20.06%E -4.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.15%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -24.37%E -3.90%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -20.89%E -4.40%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-20 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-20 13:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.38% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |