مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lech Poznań v Nieciecza

البداية: 2026-03-22 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lech Poznań (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.24%1.40السعر العادل
EV -0.258%
الأفضلية -0.184%
Kelly -0.646%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.24%71.07%71.03%73.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.311.301.4085.47%76.23%76.92%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nieciecza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.10%8.26السعر العادل
EV +8.91%
الأفضلية +0.990%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.099%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.54%12.11%12.31%14.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.267.259.0016.67%13.78%13.79%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.65%6.00السعر العادل
EV -0.073%
الأفضلية -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.45%16.83%16.66%20.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.335.275.256.0023.09%18.98%19.05%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.91%E +0.990%K +1.11%G +0.099%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 13:19
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.95%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV +5.28%E +0.607%K +0.686%G +0.036%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.40%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:59
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.75%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.77%EV +4.68%E +0.541%K +0.611%G +0.029%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.48%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.86%E +0.337%K +0.382%G +0.011%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 13:19
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.51%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000%8.46I 11.82%NM 11.23%EV +2.38%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.26%EV -2.74%E -0.469%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 13:20
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 12:00
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 12:00
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.073%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 13:18
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 13:19
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 13:19
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.40%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 13:19
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 13:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 12:59
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:59
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 13:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 12:59
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.60%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.40%EV -10.45%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -10.07%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 13:20
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.25%E -3.94%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.43%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 13:16
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 13:19
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 13:20
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 71.83%EV -16.64%E -14.23%K -97.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.01%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.16%EV -13.40%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 13:19
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 11:59
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -3.11%E -2.29%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 12:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.85%EV -10.23%E -8.12%K -39.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -11.73%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.18%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -20.06%E -4.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 67.15%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -24.37%E -3.90%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -20.89%E -4.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 13:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 13:14
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 13:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-03-22 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%2.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.38%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%2.5%2026-03-22 13:20