Die Schule der Quoten

Lech Poznań v Nieciecza

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-22 13:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Lech Poznań (Heim)

Prognose 71.24%1.40faire Quote
EV -0.258%
Vorteil -0.184%
Kelly -0.646%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.24%71.07%71.03%73.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.171.311.301.4085.47%76.23%76.92%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Nieciecza (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.10%8.26faire Quote
EV +8.91%
Vorteil +0.990%
Kelly +1.11%
Wachstum +0.099%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.54%12.11%12.31%14.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.007.267.259.0016.67%13.78%13.79%11.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.65%6.00faire Quote
EV -0.073%
Vorteil -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.45%16.83%16.66%20.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.335.275.256.0023.09%18.98%19.05%16.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.91%E +0.990%K +1.11%G +0.099%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 13:19
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.95%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV +5.28%E +0.607%K +0.686%G +0.036%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.40%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:59
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.75%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.77%EV +4.68%E +0.541%K +0.611%G +0.029%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.48%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.86%E +0.337%K +0.382%G +0.011%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 13:19
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.51%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000%8.46I 11.82%NM 11.23%EV +2.38%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.26%EV -2.74%E -0.469%K -0.566%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 13:20
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 12:00
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 12:00
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.073%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 13:18
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 13:19
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 13:19
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.40%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 13:19
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 13:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 12:59
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:59
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 13:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 13:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 12:59
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.60%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.40%EV -10.45%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -10.07%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 13:20
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.25%E -3.94%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.43%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 13:16
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 13:19
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:59
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 13:20
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 71.83%EV -16.64%E -14.23%K -97.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.01%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.16%EV -13.40%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 13:19
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 11:59
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 12:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -3.11%E -2.29%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 12:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.85%EV -10.23%E -8.12%K -39.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -11.73%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 13:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.18%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -20.06%E -4.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 12:00
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 67.15%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -24.37%E -3.90%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -20.89%E -4.40%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-22 13:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 13:14
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-20 13:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-03-22 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%2.0%2026-03-22 13:20
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%2.1%2026-03-22 12:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.38%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73%2.5%2026-03-22 13:20