L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Lech Poznań v Nieciecza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prévision 71.24%1.40cote équitable
EV -0.258%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.646%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.24%71.07%71.03%73.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.311.301.4085.47%76.23%76.92%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nieciecza (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.10%8.26cote équitable
EV +8.91%
Avantage +0.990%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.54%12.11%12.31%14.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.267.259.0016.67%13.78%13.79%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.65%6.00cote équitable
EV -0.073%
Avantage -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.45%16.83%16.66%20.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.275.256.0023.09%18.98%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +8.91%E +0.990%K +1.11%G +0.099% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.95%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV +5.28%E +0.607%K +0.686%G +0.036% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.40%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.75%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.77%EV +4.68%E +0.541%K +0.611%G +0.029% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.48%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +2.86%E +0.337%K +0.382%G +0.011% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.51%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.23%EV +2.38%E +0.281%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.26%EV -2.74%E -0.469%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.40%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -0.073%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 13:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.40%EV -9.52%E -7.50%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -3.19%E -0.399%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -6.21%E -0.802%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -9.24%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -25.05%E -5.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.60%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.40%EV -10.45%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -10.07%E -1.86%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.25%E -3.94%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -4.24%E -0.737%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.40%EV -8.81%E -6.88%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.43%EV -12.27%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 13:16 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.16%EV -6.67%E -5.09%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -8.40%E -1.53%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.94%E -8.76%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 71.83%EV -16.64%E -14.23%K -97.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.01%EV -15.29%E -2.18%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.16%EV -13.40%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -15.06%E -2.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -8.10%E -6.28%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -18.32%E -2.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -5.07%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 11:59 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -1.68%E -1.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -16.73%E -3.35%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -3.11%E -2.29%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.38%E -5.68%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.56%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.85%EV -10.23%E -8.12%K -39.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.54%EV -21.34%E -3.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -11.73%E -2.21%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.27%EV -3.82%E -2.83%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.19%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -18.39%E -3.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.18%EV -4.53%E -3.38%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -22.55%E -3.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -20.06%E -4.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.15%EV -5.96%E -4.51%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -24.37%E -3.90%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -20.89%E -4.40%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-20 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -0.258%E -0.184%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -27.39%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -27.89%E -6.44%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-20 13:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.75% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.38% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |