Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lech Poznań v Korona Kielce

2026-10-18 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lech Poznań (Local)

Previsão 62.94%1.59odd justa
EV -4.96%
Vantagem -3.28%
Kelly -9.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.68%62.87%62.96%64.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.371.461.471.5172.99%68.28%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Korona Kielce (Visitante)

Previsão 16.23%6.16odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -0.434%
Kelly -0.521%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.54%16.29%16.00%17.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.33%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.83%4.80odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.226%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.00%20.83%21.03%21.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.324.334.7525.00%23.15%23.09%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lech Poznań (Local): 62.94%; Korona Kielce (Visitante): 16.23%; Empate: 20.83%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.75, com valor esperado de -1.07%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -6.22%E -4.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -15.59%E -3.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.61%E -0.434%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.07%E -0.226%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.23%E -0.717%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.20%E -0.913%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 16:03
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -9.40%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:28
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.90%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.81%EV -3.58%E -0.603%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.29%EV -3.57%E -0.772%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:30
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-11 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.27%EV -8.11%E -5.55%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -7.48%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:00
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.78%EV -4.72%E -0.803%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 16:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-11 16:17
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -14.78%E -2.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 16:26
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.46%E -4.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -10.62%E -7.48%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.06%EV -11.25%E -7.98%K -27.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -22.08%E -4.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 61.86%EV -13.77%E -10.05%K -37.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.19%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-11 16:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.