Idioma:Español
Lech Poznań v Korona Kielce
Resultado del partido
Lech Poznań (Local)
Predicción 62.94%1.59momio equitativo
EV -4.96%
Ventaja -3.28%
Kelly -9.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.68%62.87%62.96%64.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.461.471.5172.99%68.28%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Korona Kielce (Visitante)
Predicción 16.23%6.16momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.434%
Kelly -0.521%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.54%16.29%16.00%17.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.33%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.83%4.80momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.00%20.83%21.03%21.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.324.334.7525.00%23.15%23.09%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lech Poznań (Local): 62.94%; Korona Kielce (Visitante): 16.23%; Empate: 20.83%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.75, con un valor esperado de -1.07%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -6.22%E -4.17%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -15.59%E -3.00%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.61%E -0.434%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.07%E -0.226%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.23%E -0.717%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.20%E -0.913%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 16:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -9.40%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 16:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.90%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.81%EV -3.58%E -0.603%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.29%EV -3.57%E -0.772%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.27%EV -8.11%E -5.55%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -7.48%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 15.78%EV -4.72%E -0.803%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-11 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-11 16:17 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -14.78%E -2.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 16:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.46%E -4.18%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -10.62%E -7.48%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.06%EV -11.25%E -7.98%K -27.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -22.08%E -4.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 61.86%EV -13.77%E -10.05%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.19%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.