Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lech Poznań v Korona Kielce

2026-10-18 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lech Poznań (Casa)

Previsione 62.94%1.59quota equa
EV -4.96%
Vantaggio -3.28%
Kelly -9.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.68%62.87%62.96%64.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.461.471.5172.99%68.28%68.03%66.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Korona Kielce (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.23%6.16quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.434%
Kelly -0.521%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.54%16.29%16.00%17.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.33%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.83%4.80quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.226%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.00%20.83%21.03%21.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.324.334.7525.00%23.15%23.09%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Lech Poznań (Casa): 62.94%; Korona Kielce (Trasferta): 16.23%; Pareggio: 20.83%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.80. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.75, con un valore atteso del -1.07%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -6.22%E -4.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -15.59%E -3.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.61%E -0.434%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.07%E -0.226%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.23%E -0.717%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.20%E -0.913%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 16:03
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -9.40%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:28
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.90%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.81%EV -3.58%E -0.603%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.29%EV -3.57%E -0.772%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:30
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-11 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.27%EV -8.11%E -5.55%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -7.48%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:00
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.78%EV -4.72%E -0.803%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 16:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-11 16:17
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -14.78%E -2.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 16:26
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.46%E -4.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -10.62%E -7.48%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.06%EV -11.25%E -7.98%K -27.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -22.08%E -4.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 61.86%EV -13.77%E -10.05%K -37.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.19%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-11 16:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.