Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lech Poznań v Korona Kielce

2026-10-18 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lech Poznań (Local)

Prévision 62.94%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.96%
Avantage -3.28%
Kelly -9.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.68%62.87%62.96%64.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.461.471.5172.99%68.28%68.03%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Korona Kielce (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.23%6.16cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.521%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.54%16.29%16.00%17.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.33%18.18%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.83%4.80cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%20.83%21.03%21.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.324.334.7525.00%23.15%23.09%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lech Poznań (Local) : 62.94% ; Korona Kielce (Visiteur) : 16.23% ; Match nul : 20.83%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.75, pour une espérance de -1.07% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.59%E -3.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -6.22%E -4.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -15.59%E -3.00%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.61%E -0.434%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.07%E -0.226%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.23%E -0.717%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.20%E -0.913%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 16:03
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -6.85%E -4.63%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -9.40%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:28
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.90%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.81%EV -3.58%E -0.603%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.29%EV -3.57%E -0.772%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:30
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -5.09%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-11 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.27%EV -8.11%E -5.55%K -17.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -7.48%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:00
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.78%EV -4.72%E -0.803%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -8.74%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.72%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 16:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.66%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.22%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -17.21%E -3.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-11 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-11 16:17
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.89%EV -14.78%E -2.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-11 16:26
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.56%EV -9.99%E -6.99%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.46%E -4.18%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -10.62%E -7.48%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -5.85%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.06%EV -11.25%E -7.98%K -27.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -22.08%E -4.60%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.00%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-11 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 61.86%EV -13.77%E -10.05%K -37.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -18.84%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.19%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-11 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.