Language:English
Korona Kielce v Wisła Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 42.02%2.38fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.03%42.09%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.16%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.591%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.74%31.31%31.37%32.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.953.1536.36%33.86%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.66%26.54%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.443.6030.77%29.28%29.07%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 42.02%; Wisła Kraków (Visit): 31.34%; Draw: 26.64%. For Wisła Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.24%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.73%EV -5.70%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.02%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 09:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 11:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -6.29%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 08:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.80%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.10%EV -12.89%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 06:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.18%E -4.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 06:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -12.60%E -6.06%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.86%E -6.76%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |