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Korona Kielce v Wisła Kraków

2026-09-05 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prediction 42.88%2.33fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -4.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.67%42.88%42.84%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.45%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 30.08%3.32fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.90%30.03%30.15%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.083.063.2536.36%32.45%32.68%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.09%27.01%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.70%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Korona Kielce (Local): 42.88%; Wisła Kraków (Visit): 30.08%; Draw: 27.04%. For Wisła Kraków (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.25, with an expected value of -2.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.66%E -2.57%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 15:40
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.51%EV -6.09%E -2.78%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.42%EV -7.96%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 15:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -6.52%E -2.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.69%EV -6.95%E -3.20%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:35
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:40
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 15:40
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -8.23%E -3.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -2.24%E -0.690%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 15:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.95%E -4.74%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 15:45
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -10.81%E -5.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -11.24%E -5.43%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.43%EV -11.24%E -5.43%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.28%EV -12.93%E -4.02%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.76%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -14.27%E -5.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-29 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.91%EV -12.09%E -5.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -17.28%E -6.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-29 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -12.52%E -6.14%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -12.52%E -6.14%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -12.52%E -6.14%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.54%EV -12.52%E -6.14%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 15:35
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -14.24%E -7.12%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -12.77%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-29 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.48%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.32%6.0%2026-08-29 19:00