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Korona Kielce v Wisła Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Korona Kielce (Local)
Predicción 42.02%2.38momio equitativo
EV -5.46%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.23%42.03%42.09%43.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.16%45.87%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wisła Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.591%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.74%31.31%31.37%32.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.953.1536.36%33.86%33.90%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.64%3.75momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.66%26.54%27.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.423.443.6030.77%29.28%29.07%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Korona Kielce (Local): 42.02%; Wisła Kraków (Visitante): 31.34%; Empate: 26.64%. Para Wisła Kraków (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.15, con un valor esperado de -1.27%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 02:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.24%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.73%EV -5.70%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.02%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 09:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 11:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -6.29%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 09:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 08:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.80%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.10%EV -12.89%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 06:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.18%E -4.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 06:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -12.60%E -6.06%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.86%E -6.76%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |