Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce v Wisła Kraków

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 15:30 UTC

Score final : Korona Kielce 1–1 Wisła Kraków

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prévision 42.02%2.38cote équitable
EV -5.46%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%42.03%42.09%43.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.16%45.87%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wisła Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.34%3.19cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.591%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.74%31.31%31.37%32.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.953.1536.36%33.86%33.90%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.64%3.75cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.66%26.54%27.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.423.443.6030.77%29.28%29.07%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Korona Kielce (Local) : 42.02% ; Wisła Kraków (Visiteur) : 31.34% ; Match nul : 26.64%. Pour Wisła Kraków (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.15, pour une espérance de -1.27% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.24%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.73%EV -5.70%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:15
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.02%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:20
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:25
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 09:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -6.29%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 06:10
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 09:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 01:00
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 19:44
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 19:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:04
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 09:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 15:34
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:33
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 02:35
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 15:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.80%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.10%EV -12.89%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 06:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.18%E -4.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 06:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -12.60%E -6.06%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.86%E -6.76%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-01 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%5.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%6.4%2026-09-04 14:35