Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Korona Kielce v Wisła Kraków

Inizio: 2026-09-05 15:30 UTC

Finale: Korona Kielce 1–1 Wisła Kraków

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Korona Kielce (Casa)

Previsione 42.02%2.38quota equa
EV -5.46%
Vantaggio -2.43%
Kelly -4.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.23%42.03%42.09%43.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.172.182.2548.78%46.16%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Wisła Kraków (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.34%3.19quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.404%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.74%31.31%31.37%32.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.952.953.1536.36%33.86%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.64%3.75quota equa
EV -4.10%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.79%26.66%26.54%27.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.423.443.6030.77%29.28%29.07%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Korona Kielce (Casa): 42.02%; Wisła Kraków (Trasferta): 31.34%; Pareggio: 26.64%. Per Wisła Kraków (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.19. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.15, con un valore atteso del -1.27%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.46%E -2.43%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:20
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.24%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.73%EV -5.70%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.31%EV -5.88%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -7.85%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 13:15
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.02%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:20
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.40%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 06:25
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 09:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 11:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -6.29%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.36%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 06:10
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 09:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 01:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.56%E -3.44%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 01:00
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 19:44
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -7.98%E -3.64%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 19:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:04
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -1.27%E -0.404%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:05
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -8.40%E -3.85%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 09:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 15:34
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:33
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 02:35
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 15:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -4.41%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.80%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.10%EV -12.89%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 06:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.15%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -13.18%E -4.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 06:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 06:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.04%EV -12.60%E -6.06%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.88%EV -13.44%E -6.52%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.42%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.86%E -6.76%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-01 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%5.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%6.4%2026-09-04 14:35