Language:English
Korona Kielce v Motor Lublin
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 48.08%2.08fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.11%48.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.921.9657.14%52.46%52.08%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.94%25.92%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.7530.77%28.50%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.97%3.85fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -0.952%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.95%25.93%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.51%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Korona Kielce (Local): 48.08%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 25.95%; Draw: 25.97%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.76%E -2.94%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.84%EV -5.03%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.62%E -0.698%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -6.72%E -3.46%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -7.10%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -7.03%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -7.20%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -7.20%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.20%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.10%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.03%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.64%E -4.55%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.64%E -4.55%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -9.60%E -5.11%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.07%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -10.57%E -5.68%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.67%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.73%EV -11.53%E -6.27%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.06%EV -12.55%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.00%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 14:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.55%EV -12.49%E -6.86%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -15.86%E -9.06%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79% | 16.7% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
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