Language:English
Korona Kielce v Motor Lublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 51.68%1.94fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.57%51.67%51.69%53.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.761.8359.52%56.69%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV +0.760%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.225%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%23.06%23.02%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.25%25.26%25.29%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.74%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 51.68%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 23.00%; Draw: 25.32%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.760%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV +0.760%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.48%EV -7.85%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.10%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -3.84%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 12:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -7.50%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.01%E -4.50%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.99%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-22 12:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.12%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.09%EV -11.89%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.79%EV -13.16%E -3.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.89%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 11:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -17.18%E -4.77%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.01% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 0.0% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |