Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce v Motor Lublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 12:45 UTC

Score final : Korona Kielce 1–1 Motor Lublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prévision 51.68%1.94cote équitable
EV -5.43%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -6.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.57%51.67%51.69%53.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.761.761.8359.52%56.69%56.82%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Motor Lublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.00%4.35cote équitable
EV +0.760%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.225%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%23.06%23.02%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.984.004.3827.78%25.14%25.00%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.657%
Kelly -0.888%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.25%25.26%25.29%26.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.74%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Korona Kielce (Local) : 51.68% ; Motor Lublin (Visiteur) : 23.00% ; Match nul : 25.32%. Pour Motor Lublin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.35. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.38, soit une espérance positive de +0.760%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.79%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV +0.760%E +0.174%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.70%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.48%EV -7.85%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:54
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:45
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.10%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -3.84%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.22%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 12:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 12:39
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 12:14
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:55
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:49
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -7.50%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -10.08%E -5.79%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.11%E -6.46%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.70%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.53%E -0.657%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -12.15%E -7.14%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.01%E -4.50%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.99%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 12:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.12%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.09%EV -11.89%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.79%EV -13.16%E -3.84%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:44
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.58%E -3.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 12:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -3.80%E -0.999%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.89%EV -9.05%E -5.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -10.13%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 11:49
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.56%E -5.46%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 11:59
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -10.60%E -6.12%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -17.18%E -4.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 51.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-22 12:40
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-08-22 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-08-22 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-08-22 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-08-22 12:40
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-08-22 12:40